Stock Market Bubbles
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Today’s Stock Market Bubbles
This article identifies at least three bubbles in today’s markets. The major bubble is in technology stocks. It also lists several strategies on how to deal with the bubbles, but points out that bubbles can continue for a long time before they pop. Our view is that the market constantly creates single-asset micro-bubbles, isolated examples […]
Stock Market Bubbles – The Tulip Mania Revised
Most people who’ve done any reading on investing have come across the Dutch Tulip Bulb Mania of the 1630s. It often is considered to be the first financial bubble and the classic example of manias, financial delusions, and other mental mistakes. This article says that everything we’ve been told about the tulip mania is wrong. […]
The Stock Market Bubble Watch
Jeffrey Kleintop of Charles Schwab & Co. recently looked at a few asset classes for signs of bubbles. The assets were selected based on questions from investors. Kleintop didn’t find any that met his definition of a bubble. But he also cautioned that some of the assets carry a lot of risk for investors at […]
The Wrong Stock Market Bubble Predictions
Perhaps the most persistent feature of the financial world during my career is a large number of people stating that different assets are in bubbles or dangerously overvalued territory. It doesn’t matter how many times people are wrong about sighting bubbles. Investors and the media seem to flock to these negative forecasts. It’s been called […]
How to Handle a Stock Market Bubble
This thoughtful essay discusses several cases in which smart, successful investors lost money because they caved in to recent trends. The fundamentals of the investments didn’t meet their criteria, but they invested anyway, because they saw other people making a lot of money and wanted to join the party. It turns out they bought at […]
Predicting Stock Market Bubbles and Crashes
Some professors at Harvard concluded that it is possible to anticipate which of those rises in stock market sectors will burst and lead to a crash. After studying a lot of bubbles and crashes and running the data through computers, they concluded that there are common characteristics in stock market crashes. Even so, their tools […]
Searching for the Next Stock Market Bubble
After being burned by tech stocks in the late 1990s and real estate and stocks again in the first decade of the 2000s, investors are trying to be alert for bubbles. This post argues that the way to spot a bubble is to follow the quantitative analysts and investors. He thinks he’s found the next […]
The Expanding Asset Bubble in Art and Collectibles
Recently I was talking to a friend who spends a lot of time with wealthy people, primarily trying to raise money from them. He said that when he asks them what they’re doing with their money these days, many saying their eschewing financial assets (stocks and bonds) and buying things: land, timber, art, wine, etc. […]
