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Found 26 Articles.
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The Cult of Stocks

August 1, 2012

That’s what Bill Gross is attacking in his latest monthly essay. Gross’s timing confuses some. PIMCO started adding an equity mutual fund division to its wide array of bond offerings just a few years ago. While one part of PIMCO tries to convince investors to buy its stock funds, Gross continues to argue that stocks […]

Stocks Aren’t for the Long Run

April 11, 2012

Professor Robert Shiller of “irrational exuberance” fame is back making headlines, this time in an interview with Money magazine. Another of Shiller’s innovations is the Shiller P/E ratio. Instead of using forecasts of next year’s earnings, Shiller suggests using normalized earnings, which he defines as basically an average of the last 10 year’s earnings. That […]

Time to Buy Stocks?

August 16, 2011

With stocks in a downdraft and well below recent highs, it’s time to consider the unthinkable question: Is this a good time to add to your stock positions? Let’s look at two pieces of data. The first is the net flows of mutual funds. Investors have been pulling money out of equity mutual funds for […]

Don’t Own Stocks for the Long Run

July 7, 2011

Stocks for the Long Run is a best-seller by Jeremy Siegel and is the basis for the stock-centered portfolios that dominate in the U.S., even among retired investors. Siegel’s argument is that over the long-term stocks earn substantially higher returns than the alternatives. Stocks do have higher volatility. But because of the higher returns, investors […]


Pockets of Opportunity in the Stock Market

November 1, 2005

The trends that boosted our portfolios ahead of the indexes this year are likely to last another quarter or more. As more and more investors notice our returns and invest with us, it will become time to move into other investments. We aren’t at that point yet, but I’m already drawing up a short list […]


Stocks to Hold for the Long Run

November 1, 2005

We are coming up on the one year anniversary of our portfolio of 15 stocks for the next decade. For those who want to own individual stocks in addition to mutual funds, I created a portfolio of 15 companies that you should be comfortable owning for the next decade. This is not a trading portfolio, […]


Japanese Stocks Catching Fire

November 1, 2005

The doormat of international financial markets, Japan, appears to be turning around as we anticipated a couple of years ago. At Retirement Watch we have a history of following the Japanese market. Investors with long memories will recall that Japan had the world’s hottest stock market in the 1970s and 1980s. There even were fears […]


A Few Stocks For The Long Term

March 1, 2002

The Enron accounting scandal hasn’t touched directly our recommended individual stocks. Not all of our picks have been winners in the bear market, but we’ve avoided accounting and management scandals. It takes a bit of work to avoid companies with artificial financial results, and it is not always possible. A concerted fraud effort is impossible […]


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