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Financial Crisis

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10 Financial Crisis and Stock Market Crash Warning Signs

March 29, 2018

This article discusses warnings signs of financial crises. It says the conventional wisdom that high volatility is a warning sign is wrong. Instead, it says the period we just passed through might have given a warning sign of an upcoming crisis. One of the key tools is early warning indicators of crises, which gained some […]

A Warning About a New Financial and Stock Market Crisis

January 23, 2018

The veteran world economist who was among those who warned about trouble before the financial crisis is at it again. William White, formerly of the Bank of International Settlements, says he sees imbalances and extremes that are very similar to what was building up before 2007. He also says that central banks used up a […]

Where to Look for the Next Stock Market and Financial Crisis

September 20, 2017

This article argues that Silicon Valley is more likely to be the source of the next financial crisis than Wall Street. The author believes all those new financial technology startups have been great for many individuals and small businesses, but they aren’t being careful enough. He thinks they’ll be the source of the next crisis. […]

The Unexplored Cause of the Financial Crisis and Stock Market Crash

July 24, 2017

Easy central bank policies and lax mortgage lending were, of course, key factors. But most discussions of the crisis don’t explain the role of what’s sometimes called the shadow money market. This consists of privately-arranged loans between banks and various investors or lenders. The loans usually were for very short terms, often five days or […]

How the Fed Helped Cause the Financial Crisis

March 25, 2016

John Taylor of Stanford has been a leading critic of the Fed’s role in creating the financial crisis and its actions afterward. In this blog post he summarizes the arguments against the Fed, including links to important research from others that pin a lot of responsibility on the Fed’s loose money before 2007. Of course […]

How Financial Crises Start

October 26, 2012

A number of people saw the problems that culminated in the financial crisis of 2008. They saw the problems clearly and early and predicted that bad things had to happen. Most of these people were way too early. See the book The Big Short by Michael Lewis for details. They predicted a calamity, but things […]

The Next Financial and Stock Market Crisis

September 24, 2012

The U.S. seems to have stabilized its financial crisis. Thanks to substantial Fed stimulus, the economy is settled into a low growth, low inflation path. Europe, after a lot of fits and starts, just might have stumbled on policies that will prevent a meltdown and duplicate the U.S. environment. Some investors believe that means we […]

The Next Financial Crisis

April 24, 2012

One group of analysts believes the Fed is doing the right thing by dramatically increasing its balance sheet and keeping interest rates low. Others believe the moves are creating a new set of problems. They compare the recent actions to those that caused the housing and debt bubbles in the last century. A good analysis […]

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