Stock Markets and the Economy
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Inflation Pressures Increase; Fed Says It Is Not Worried
Inflation continues to accelerate. How far and fast it rises will be critical to the economy and to stock and bond prices. Federal Reserve officials say that the recent rise in inflation is primarily due to short-term factors, such as recovering energy prices and supply chain problems. But inflation might not be temporary. Prices of […]
Signs That Inflation is Set to Rise
Inflation is likely to rise quickly in the next few months, and that could put the Federal Reserve in a difficult situation much earlier than it anticipated. A number of inflation pressures are increasing. One example is rising demand for many goods and services as more vaccines are administered and economic activity increases. That puts […]
How Safe Is Your Money?
Credit Suisse recently report-ed a $4.7 billion loss from its dealings with one client, Archegos Capital Management. As a consequence, the bank slashed its dividend, reduced its share buybacks and announced key employees were leaving the firm. The Swiss bank was one of several global financial firms that suffered loss-es from its dealings with Archegos […]
The Economy, Markets Start to Turn
The U.S. economy is stronger than many people realize, and growth is likely to accelerate. That affects stocks, bonds, gold and more. Parts of the economy were hurt badly by the pandemic and continue to struggle. Other sectors of the economy, however, held their own or even surged during 2020. The focus on hurting households […]
How Market and Economic Trends are Changing in 2021
Some key investment and economic trends of the last few years started to change in the last few months. I believe those changes will continue, and probably accelerate, in 2021. One change, which I’ve been highlighting, is that returns from U.S. stocks are unlikely to continue to significantly outpace returns from many global stocks. U.S. […]
The Continuing Case for Cautious Optimism
Investors began 2021 filled with optimism about the markets, and there are good reasons for the positive attitudes. Market prices indicate investors expect interest rates and inflation to stay low. They also expect corporate profits to improve due to a strong economic rebound once COVID-19 vaccines are widely administered. The vaccines aren’t the only reasons […]
The Economy Slows, But Powers Through the Headwinds
Economic growth slowed in recent months, and much of the economy still is at depressed levels. Yet, the economy is doing better than expected. The big question for me has been how well the economy would hold up once the fiscal stimulus began winding down after July. While the rate of growth slowed substantially, the […]
How to Navigate the Post-Election Economy and Markets
The election’s over, and not much changed. Not much will change for at least several months. After major elections, regardless of the results, I urge my readers not to overhaul their portfolios in response to the election. Too often, I hear people advising investors to make significant changes because of what they say are the […]
