Stock Markets and the Economy
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The Hibernation Economy: The Novel Coronavirus Pandemic and Your Finances
In this month’s Retirement Watch Spotlight Series, I take a detailed look at the coronavirus pandemic, how the government is responding to it and its effects on the economy and your retirement finances. There’s a lot that’s new in the pandemic. The newness creates more uncertainty and increases market volatility. But there’s also much that […]
Investors Finally Find Things to Worry About
Investor complacency finally was broken in late February. In the 11 years since the bull market began, investors ignored a lot of reasons to sell stocks, especially in the last few years. We never know what will begin a market correction or bear market. We do know that when markets climb for so long, become […]
How to Navigate the Gap in This Market Cycle
Did we skip a phase or two in this investment and economic cycle? It looks like we did, and investors should notice what happened. Indeed, a typical investment and economic cycle has four main phases. There’s peak growth, which is followed by a decline. The decline ends in a trough, which is followed by a […]
The Big Surprises of 2020
Many investors entered 2020 thinking they can sit back and enjoy low-risk returns. The thought is understandable but wrong. A major cause for optimism is that the Federal Reserve and other central banks made clear they won’t tighten the money supply for a long time. The central bankers are willing to err on the side […]
The Fed’s New Paradigm and Your Retirement Finances: Investment and Economic Review December 2019
The Federal Reserve and other central banks around the world recently made a dramatic change in their outlook and policies. Most investors still haven’t grasped the significance of the change and why it was made. In this edition of the Retirement Watch Spotlight Series, I explain in detail why central banks have sharply reversed their […]
Are We About to Repeat 2015-2016?
The big question for investors hasn’t changed. Will 2019-2020 be similar to 2015-2016, or will we slide into a recession? In 2015, the U.S. economy was so slow that several historically reliable indicators of an imminent recession were waiving red flags. The global economy was even weaker. By early 2016, global stock markets were falling […]
The Fed Recognizes the World Has Changed
Central banks in the developed world made a historic shift in their policies the last few months, and many people haven’t noticed or don’t realize the significance. The Federal Reserve and other central banks now are actively and preemptively fighting deflation. In the past, central banks were most concerned about containing inflation and they’d tighten […]
The Fed Recognizes the World Has Changed
Central banks in the developed world made a historic shift in their policies the last few months, and many people haven’t noticed or don’t realize the significance. The Federal Reserve and other central banks now are actively and preemptively fighting deflation. In the past, central banks were most concerned about containing inflation and they’d tighten […]
