Bob Carlson offers his expert opinion on where to invest your money so that you can get through retirement safely and securely
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It doesn’t have much to do with the election or even fears of the fiscal cliff. Only a couple of things move stocks. They boil down to people either want to pay a higher multiple for earnings than they did yesterday, or they don’t. The fact is that earnings aren’t as robust as they were […]
A few days ago I linked to a chart from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis that attempts to forecast recessions. The post I linked to asserted that the chart now indicates we have a 100% chance of a recession based on how the chart today compares with past performance. But it turns out […]
November 30, 2012 04:40 p.m. Your Retirement Finance Week in Review There’s still room available at my next free online investment presentation, but slots are filling up. I’ll try to make some sense and order of current economic and market issues and answer the question: How should you manage your portfolio in this environment? You […]
A number of people saw the problems that culminated in the financial crisis of 2008. They saw the problems clearly and early and predicted that bad things had to happen. Most of these people were way too early. See the book The Big Short by Michael Lewis for details. They predicted a calamity, but things […]
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When people evaluate the stock market, they usually focus on whether the market is cheap or rich, and that usually focuses on earnings. But which earnings should you use? Conventional analysts tend to use projections for earnings over the next year. But some other analysts believe that’s a bad move. Forecasts of the next year’s […]
One of the long-time top-performing funds in our “hedge fund” mutual fund portfolio is FPA Capital. For many years its met the goal of earning stock index-like returns with less risk and volatility. Manager Steve Romick made one of his rare public appearances this morning on CNBC. Romick explained how he does this by being […]
October 26, 2012 04:30 p.m. Your Retirement Finance Week in Review The markets had bumpy rides the law few weeks. One cause of the market swings is earnings season. Investors should have been prepared for lower earnings and revenue because of the poor economic data since last spring. But they apparently were used to corporations […]
The U.S. seems to have stabilized its financial crisis. Thanks to substantial Fed stimulus, the economy is settled into a low growth, low inflation path. Europe, after a lot of fits and starts, just might have stumbled on policies that will prevent a meltdown and duplicate the U.S. environment. Some investors believe that means we […]
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